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Table 4 The variables used in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, with their associated uncertainty and distributions

From: Cost-effectiveness of palivizumab in infants with congenital heart disease: a Swedish perspective

Variable

Mean value

Standard error (SE)

Distribution

Risk of RSV-hospitalization

9.7%

0.010

beta

HR RSV hospitalization (proph)

0.55

0.055

lognormal

Death from RSV hospitalization

3.7%

0.004

beta

Proportion delayed surgeries due to RSV-hosp

30.0%

0.030

beta

Proportion general complication from delayed surgery

40.0%

0.040

beta

Death (compl., delayed surgery)

1.0%

0.001

beta

LOS, RSV hospitalization

13.27

1.33

gamma

LOS, RSV hospitalization (proph)

10.79

1.08

gamma

LOS, ICU

7.32

0.73

gamma

LOS, ICU (proph)

2.97

0.30

gamma

Days with suppl. Oxygen

10.44

1.04

gamma

Days with suppl. Oxygen (proph)

5.24

0.52

gamma

Days with mechanical ventilation

5.62

0.56

gamma

Days with mechanical ventilation (proph)

1.24

0.12

gamma

Days with ECMO

8.17

0.82

gamma

Days with ECMO (proph)

8.17

0.82

gamma

Days with CPAP

3.50

0.35

gamma

Days with CPAP (proph)

3.50

0.35

gamma

RSV hosp (cost per day)

1197 EUR

120

gamma

ICU (cost per day)

605 EUR1

60

gamma

Suppl. oxygen (cost per day)

344 EUR

34

gamma

Mechanical ventilation (cost per day)

344 EUR

34

gamma

ECMO (cost per day)

8592 EUR

859

gamma

CPAP (cost per day)

2141 EUR

214

gamma

first injection (kg)

5.00

0.50

normal

second injection (kg)

5.40

0.54

normal

third injection (kg)

5.80

0.58

normal

fourth injection (kg)

6.40

0.64

normal

fifth injection (kg)

7.00

0.70

normal

Annual cost asthma

1440 EUR

144

gamma

Cost of general CHD-complication (annual)

21,506 EUR

2151

gamma

Base utility

0.89

0.089

beta

Utility decrement of RSV hosp

0.10

0.010

beta

Asthma utility

0,79

0,079

beta

Utility decrement of heart complication

0,10

0,010

beta